Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 3.558975 3.781122 4.019775 4.297009 4.612536 4.963366 5.387126
2025-09-28 3.274387 3.581349 3.930563 4.363717 4.896310 5.543992 6.415751
2025-10-05 3.178689 3.569318 4.038035 4.658229 5.485600 6.600577 8.323541
2025-10-12 3.009351 3.443645 3.985593 4.739455 5.815055 7.404012 10.225424
2025-10-19 2.862957 3.326733 3.924529 4.792626 6.109108 8.236843 12.642206
2025-10-26 2.778805 3.278063 3.942821 4.952332 6.589149 9.532929 17.068935
2025-11-02 2.657602 3.167592 3.862096 4.951140 6.807961 10.450732 21.899552
2025-11-09 2.494382 2.987428 3.666025 4.746679 6.635768 10.514585 24.304164
2025-11-16 2.365692 2.846434 3.514903 4.595595 6.532335 10.700923 27.788602
2025-11-23 2.284441 2.766052 3.445204 4.566463 6.648564 11.457758 36.800575
2025-11-30 2.221811 2.707654 3.402787 4.576058 6.840254 12.513323 56.102211
2025-12-07 2.140385 2.617919 3.306797 4.484354 6.808920 12.935192 77.501785
2025-12-14 2.044202 2.509518 3.186416 4.358724 6.728700 13.330645 126.945092
2025-12-21 1.988999 2.458331 3.151714 4.382394 6.987373 15.125155 NaN
2025-12-28 1.988564 2.487237 3.244541 4.650494 7.903311 21.056999 NaN
2026-01-04 1.946227 2.450881 3.229559 4.714407 8.348182 26.239710 NaN
2026-01-11 1.903246 2.410969 3.205396 4.757045 8.759354 33.302427 NaN
2026-01-18 1.881682 2.402433 3.232629 4.908374 9.572095 52.824533 NaN
2026-01-25 1.836558 2.354650 3.188953 4.903674 9.889579 74.147614 NaN
2026-02-01 1.764163 2.261025 3.060452 4.700938 9.452723 68.711874 NaN
2026-02-08 1.704126 2.184983 2.959430 4.551522 9.183678 69.200305 NaN
2026-02-15 1.666096 2.142325 2.914623 4.522330 9.349030 94.909465 NaN
2026-02-22 1.636134 2.111212 2.888244 4.531413 9.668383 175.404363 NaN